Sunday, October 31, 2010
Week 8: Water Pollution
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Week 7: Water Resources
Is the liquid gold of the future not the poisonous sheen of oil but instead the promise of pure, potable water? Much of the world currently faces water scarcity to some degree – in fact, one out three1 people worldwide – and with the uncertainties of the future, such as climate change, urbanization, and the ever-growing population, the possibility that water shortage will be exacerbated into a crisis is real. This week, we discussed China’s water resource situation in depth. China is potentially “ahead of the game” when it comes to a water crisis: some have been hailing the water resource situation of Northern China as a serious problem since the 1990’s. “Water scarcity” is defined as less than 1000m3/year per capita; Northern China has barely 757m3/year per capita, and in some parts, as low as 300m3/year per capita. However, the true scarcity of China’s water resources is reflected by more than these numbers. Other factors affect the water that is truly available for human usage: water quality, access to water, rights to water, et cetera.
In class, we examined both some of these drivers of scarcity and the effects that they are having in China. For my presentation, I tried to categorize the drivers into primarily into natural and human-related. I believe that there are several ultimate human-related drivers: economic growth, population growth, industrialization, and urbanization. These lead to the prominent proximate driver: increased demand for water. Poor management, or ineffective management is another human-related factor driving the scarcity of water in China that is extremely important and perhaps in a classification all of its own. Despite this attempt to separate causes, I find that the interactions of the effects start to make it a superfluous exercise. Natural drivers of scarcity include the natural distribution and availability of water across the geographic landscape in China, which is extremely variable in both time and space. China includes both deserts and areas of high rainfall as well as being subject monsoon periodicities on both annual and interannual time scales. Yet these natural cycles are changing. The very recent Piao et al (2010) article in Nature that we read attempted to predict the future of the water availability for China’s future in a warming climate. I was disappointed by the lack of conclusive statements that they made, yet skeptical that they could draft any reasonable predictions, given the ways that the Chinese are currently altering the natural hydrology of their landscape. We have talked about a few examples of this: the 3 Gorges Dam, groundwater withdrawal compacting aquifers, even the South-to-North transfer of water or the city of Harbin seeking a new water source geographically farther away than the Songhua river. All of these complicate the predictions of how water will be available across China.
Considering the complications involved with sorting out causes, I will turn instead towards our discussion of potential solutions. How is China going to move towards a future of water management? Some things about the Chinese water resources have changed in ways that may be irreversible, such as the construction of the 3 Gorges Dam, and what is actually important is now how China proceeds forward. The World Bank proposes that China’s government performs an extensive overhaul on the management system and philosophy within the country. Water governance, like other environmental policy, is decided on national levels and left to local bodies to be implemented and enforced. However, a single water source may end up under the jurisdiction of multiple ministerial bodies. Clearing up the bureaucratic uncertainties with a more streamlined protocol would improve the ability of China’s government to meet its goals regarding water management. Additionally, the current spatial scale of administration may be inappropriate and more consideration of river-basin scale management is required. These suggestions from the World Bank are easy for us to agree with. However, other suggestions offered for improvement are more controversial. Is a water privatization system (as proposed by the World Bank) the best way to proceed to increase efficiency of water usages, decrease demand, encourage improvements of water-related infrastructure and reduce pollution? Or can the Chinese government make better choices with enforcement of the current system of “command-and-control”?
Unfortunately, our class is far from having the answers to the above questions. Instead, our limited discussions of national problems and policies as well as the case studies that we broached have only just gotten our feet wet, so to speak. Wumeng’s current event topic today, pollution in the Songhua river, was an excellent way to review many of the issues we discussed yesterday. The Songhua river is the major water source of three northern provinces in China, yet pollution has been making it a less available water resource. In class, we watched a CCTV news report on the issue and how, despite the severity, the government was stepping in to fix it. Not only is greater pollution of small (likely TVE) industries going to be curbed, but the city of Harbin is creating access to a purer, but more remote water source. Fixes that, looking at the state of the river and the drinking water supply today, have not been as successful as the government or the people would have hoped for. Additionally, this issue brushed upon the international affairs associated with water politics as the Songhua river leads into Russian territory. Clearly, the current methods are not as effective as they need to be to really solve these problems and change is required. But to what extent should China maintain its’ strong governmental control and to what extent should it allow other forces, such as NGO’s or market-based strategies, to enact change?
1 World Health Organization. Accessed Oct 19, 2010. http://www.who.int/features/factfiles/water/water_facts/en/index.html
Wednesday, October 6, 2010
Week 5: Transportation in China
Saturday, October 2, 2010
Week 4 Response: China-US Relations and Chinese International Relations
Powerpoint Presentation: China-US Relations and Chinese International Relations
This week the GISP discussed the China-US relationship and China’s international relations within the scope of environmental issues and impact. One of the primary challenges I faced putting this presentation together was connecting information on China’s international relations to environmental impact. The link, although important, is not direct. The goal of this class was to understand international perspectives on China and China’s position in the international arena, and how this influences China’s environmental policy and practices.
Much of the class was spent discussing points of contention between the US and China. Chishio helped explain to the class the issue of the trade deficit between the US and China. We discussed the common US fear that the trade deficit is causing an outsourcing of jobs to China and is harming the US economy. I posed the question, what is the role of perspectives in shaping international relations? Based on our discussion of the history of US-China relations, which could easily be characterized as mercurial, we wondered if the perspectives of common citizens play a role in international relations. How much do policymakers account for the views of their constituents (or the general public)? This raises interesting questions of whether a grassroots campaign in China could have a significant impact on policy, something I hope we will discuss in our later class on NGO’s in China. Are public perspectives, like Memorandums of Understanding and other non-binding policy agreements, simply reflections of political awareness, status, and general cooperation? Can they actually have any effect on binding policy decisions? While recent agreements between the US and China foster greater dialogues between their respective environmental agencies (Obama’s updated SED’s, the Ten-Year Plan), none of these agreements have produced binding or stringent environmental policy. We discussed the benefits and disadvantages of such cyclical agreements – they represent positive relations, but shift responsibility around until it is almost impossible to recover.
One significant difference between the US and China which we discussed were their differing takes on nationalism and colonialism, topics that we thought could be easily extrapolated to environmental impact. China strongly opposes the expansion of US hegemony, and maintains a non-intervention, hands-off approach to the countries it invests in, which Devon discussed in the latter half of our presentation. Harmony raised questions of China’s “soft power”. Is China’s energy investment in unstable countries an indication of admiral nonpartisanship, or is it a purely exploitative move? Interestingly, since several class members are also involved in Strait Talk at Brown, a group which discusses China-Taiwan issues, Taiwan came up several times. Throughout China’s investment in African countries, Taiwan seems to act as a bargaining chip in maintaining positive relations. African nations which previously recognized Taiwan switched their recognition to the PRC following Chinese investment in their country. How much leverage can or should a single issue have in determining the course of international relations? Will Taiwan ever become a "bargaining chip" between the US and China?
While discussing energy security in China, we paused to consider a current event involving a dispute between China and Japan over a boundary in the East China Sea. This boundary happens to lie over an area with natural gas and oil reserves. The resultant outcome in favor of China’s definition of the boundary also raised questions about Sino-Japanese relations, which are far more historied and inflammatory than US-China relations. Japan, Chishio pointed out, suffers from the spread of Chinese air and water pollution. Does Japan have the power to challenge China on energy security and pollution issues? How does the two countries’ history influence their negotiations? I personally hope to learn more about Sino-Japanese relations throughout this class.
Lastly, one of the main themes of this class was China’s platform of a “Harmonious World” and a “Peaceful Rise” throughout its modern economic development. We discussed the implications of China’s adherence to a rise without the use of military power or the winning of any major wars, which is unprecedented. Does China’s “peaceful rise” make it more likely to practice appeasement in international negotiations? What would it take for China to depart from its peaceful rise? Has China’s rise really been peaceful? Interestingly, Wumeng pointed out the ironic use of the word for “harmonious” in contemporary Chinese dialogue, due to its overuse in politics. For example, when controversial content is censored and removed from the internet by the Chinese government, Chinese people may say that the content has been “harmonized away”, using the same word as in the phrase “Harmonious World”. How real is China's intention of maintaining a "Harmonious World"?
Monday, September 27, 2010
Week 3: Economic Growth in China
Our topic for this week is the economic growth in China in the last couple decades, and how this is related to the environmental issues that China is facing today. This would provide us with background knowledge about recent economic trends in China, and set up the stage for our later topic-specific discussions in the coming weeks. One reading assignment is Prof. Liu's paper, but to some extent his paper fails to give us the macro-scopic image that we are looking for. Since I am the only person in our GISP that have really grown up in China, I decided to bring up external materials in my presentation. By doing so, I suggest four interesting themes that we may want to think about again and again during the semester as we are getting deeper and deeper into the field.
Theme 1: Is China having a real economic development or is there just GDP growth?
China has experienced an annual GDP growth about 10% in the last three decades, and it has become one of the largest economies in the world thanks to its huge population. However, a couple of socio-economic issues remains significant in China. The one that receives the most attention in China is probably the rual-urban inequality. Although China is labelled as a Communist Country, it actually has one of the largest rural-urban inequalities among all nations. Policies, including environmental regulations, in China treats rural and urban areas distinctively, which is one thing we have to take consideration of when we talk about environmental regulations in China in the future. In a most recent book published by the central government called "How to See the Seven (Issues)?" (《七个怎么看》), seven socio-economic issues are presented and discussed as the most important issues China is facing today. Surprisingly, environmental degradation is not one of them. On one hand, this reflects a lack of attention from the government. On the other hand, it reminds us of the limited resource that Chinese government can spend on environmental protection. The purpose of our GISP would certainly involve a reconsideration about the development path that China is currently taking.
Theme 2: Is China a centralized nation in an economic sense?
The Liu's paper we read presented three administrative issues in China that are relevant to effective environmental protection: (1) the standard on which officials are selected and promoted, (2) the lack of effective enforcement, (3) the lack of high-level cooperation. In addition to that, I would like to raise a fourth one, which is the lack of low-level cooperation. In our previous meetings, we have noticed the conflicts between local governments and the central government in China. It is true to some extent that China is an economically highly decentralized nation because economic activities are determined, or at least heavily influenced, by local governments on daily basis. This leads to a situation similar to the "tragedy of the commons" because natural resources are often common and transboundary resources.
Theme 3: Is the traditional China environmentally better?
Liu's paper propose an interesting argument that the ecological footprint is not determined by the size of population, but rather by the number of households. He thus also suggest that China, influenced by the West, has experienced a dramatic rise in divorce rate since 1980s, which is partly responsible for the rapid increase in hosuehold number and the pressure on the environment. Whether or not his argument holds is debatable, but this argument leads to an interesting issue that is troubling many Chinese people: which is more environmentally friendly, tradition or modernity? The traditional China possessed several characters that are often considered environmentally good: (1) large family size and strong family value, (2) self-sustaining local agriculture with much organic farming, and (3) low population mobility in geographical sense. China has just abandoned all these characters in its process of modernization in the last thirty of forty years. This also leads us to rethink about China's path of development.
Theme 4: Why Chinese people want to protect the environment? (an ethic question)
Unlike the US that has undergone the environmental movement in the 1960s, environmental movement in China, if there is any, is still at its very early stage. Traditional Chinese environmental ethics are often more anthropocentric, suggesting that people should not protect the environment only for the sake of environment. However, it is also important to point out that the "anthropocentric" is a western term that does not express an accurate meaning here. Man and nature are considered being corresponding with and interdependent on each other by Chinese culture. Although people's mind starts to change in the last century under the influence from the West, the old culture still has a strong legacy. This should not be neglected if we want to think about what kind/level of environmental regulation can be accepted by most Chinese people.
In the end we had a discussion on a legal case that took place in China last year. A farmer in Southwest China killed the last tiger of its endangered species, and was eventually sentenced a twelve-year in prison and a huge fine. This stimulated heated discussion among people across China. I personally think it would be really interesting to find out what would likely to be the sentence if the case happened in the US, which could be an interesting comparison. Since the legal system, especially on environmental issues, is still poorly established and very much under the experimentation stage in China, cases like this reflect the recent trend on its development.
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Week 2: Environmental Policy Response
It’s a loaded word these days in the US. It’s one that simultaneously evokes images of industrialization and factory labor, of overcrowded cities and displaced peoples, of chemical-laden rivers and smog filled air. And of course, let’s not forget the ubiquitous “national bird” of the country, the crane—ceaselessly at work transforming the landscape. Furthermore, to many Americans, there are even more sinister implications that the word summons: communism, the lack of human rights, and a government that will stop at nothing—sacrificing everything—for the sake of economic progress.
While these same people might scoff at the very idea of “Chinese environmental policy,” we learned this week that the central Chinese government is not, in fact, Evil Incarnate. It does not mandate that the country must spew carbon, sulfur, and other pollutants into the air. In reality, the bulk of China’s environmental problems stem from the fact the central government and the local governments that are ultimately responsible for many of the polluting factories have largely irreconcilable differences in interest. The central government is focused on statistics. They want to decrease carbon emissions and increase GDP, while the process for doing so is secondary. And while their suggestions they do make may be effective in urban settings such as Beijing and Shanghai, the sheer size of the country ensures that in many locales, these approaches simply will not work.
Local leaders want to bring economic prosperity to their region, they want their people to live well, and they want some attention from the international business community. These goals are not necessarily compatible with the central government’s large-scale plans for reducing carbon emissions, and factories subsequently claim that it is too difficult to comply with the Environmental Protection Bureau’s regulations. Moving forward, the differences between the local and central government will always be an issue in the development of China—the country is simply too big to be able to cater to everyone’s needs.
For those still skeptical of the central government’s desire to curb pollution in China, here’s a quote from the New York Times. According to Peggy Liu, chairwoman of the Joint U.S.-China Collaboration on Green Energy: “China’s leaders are mostly engineers and scientists, so they don’t waste time questioning scientific data… China is changing from the factory of the world to the clean-tech laboratory of the world.” As prices rise in China, and foreign companies look to other countries for their source of cheap labor, this vision may well become a reality. But until then, this issue of local government vs. central government may be a problem, like so many others, without a clear solution.
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
"Week 3: China's Economic Growth Summary" Response
A discussion of China’s present day situation cannot be complete without mention of the industrial powerhouse that the country has become in the very recent history. Our focus this week was the extraordinary surge of economic growth that has carried the country that contains nearly a fifth of the world’s population into the 21st century. The repetition of a few key, astounding numbers (1978 reform leading to an annual rise of nearly 10% GDP for the next 30 years), may be in part due to sheer amazement that can only be mollified by repetition until desensitization. During our discussions this week, the recurring theme of Western and foreign impressions of the Chinese and China surfaced once more. In general, we feel as though that among these sentiments exists a lot of mistrust, judgment and the impression that the Chinese thrust aside their morals in order to meet their rigorous deadlines and goals for development. At first, many foreigners doubted the validity of China’s “economic miracle”: they believed, and to varying extents still believe, that the data coming from China is highly inflated to make the progress of China’s economy.
However, despite the very real possibility that China manipulates data that it publishes to the public and international forums, it is undeniable that the country has experienced incredible change in its economic sector in a historically short period of time. What remain open to question are the impacts of this growth and the implications for its future: restructuring of the economic system, cultural tensions of modernization and import of western culture have changed the day-to-day lives of billions of Chinese people. Larger issues that beg attention from the government and citizens alike are also emerging; among them is the environment. Interestingly enough, in a published report published by the Chinese government in 2010, “七个怎么看” or “How to See the Seven Issues”, environmental degradation was not among seven explicitly stated areas of current concern. Especially at the level of central government, we’ve seen many actions and indications that preservation of the environment is acknowledged as an important consideration.
For example, the latest five year plan, covering 2005-2010 had stated the importance of creating ways to mitigate environmental impacts within China. In particular, the realm of fossil fuel emissions and energy efficiency are an area of new actions. With the recent news of China as the world’s greatest producer of solar panels and their ambitious goals to reduce CO2 emissions by 20%, it is clear to see that they are responding to at least this aspect of environmental degradation. Perhaps in part motivated by international pressure as much as self-preservation, China has, at least in print, aims to alter their energy mix away from the extremely inefficient (in terms of energy/emissions) coal. Considering its abundance and availability, however, the economic motives for transitioning away from coal as an energy source still seem hazy. While China actually follow through?
Sustainability in China’s development is also a key buzzword: will this growth and success last? Potential weaknesses still exist in the中国特色的社会主义, or the hybrid of free market that has grown out of the socialist ashes of Maoist China. Analysts point to the fragilities, such as the financial sector, housing market, misplaced incentives and subsidies; and warn of their potential to deflate the balloon of China’s awesome increase in GDP. But will the Achilles’ heel actually be environmental degradation?
However, an excellent question raised by Wumeng will continue to hang in my mind while I consider the consequences and future of this economic change in China: has China been developing or simply growing? How are they different? How can we consider the increase in the rural urban disparity while also acknowledging the increased standard of living of the country as a whole? The cost of industry in terms of the environment and the subsequent health of billions?
Sunday, September 19, 2010
"Week 2: Chinese Environmental Policy" Response
Thursday, September 9, 2010
Week 1: Introduction summary response
Like most subjects, the broad topic of China’s environment may be somewhat akin to a fractal: infinitely spiraling down into endlessly minute levels of detail. Without the big picture, it may be easy to get lost in the in the hundreds of issues and millions, make that billions, of people. For a big picture groundwork, we discussed the physical geography of the country as well as the broad ideas behind recent historical change in China. Although we were all at some level familiar with these topics, it was rewarding and helpful to actually engage in a discussion about them. For the geographic presentation, I displayed a series of what I considered to be some of the most relevant and interesting maps of China: topographic, satellite, population density, provinces delineation, precipitation, as well as some from the Frank Leeming book that was assigned reading. From the perspective of these maps, we discussed some of the problems that China faces as a country; in particular the contrasting distributions of people, resources, as well as the type of resources seems to drive some of the country’s tensions. From a policy point of view, we mentioned the continuing struggle that China has with other countries over ownership of some territories. Most interesting were the parallels that could be drawn for the geographic features defining human problems in similar ways for the United States of America. Discussion was sparked by the thematic question: does industrial/economic advancement come at the necessary cost of environmental protection? We focused on the conundrum of smaller, rural industries as large sources of pollutants, probably inspired by the Bryan Tilt book. These factories are largely employing outdated, inefficient technologies that are especially harmful to the environment. However, in some areas foreign competition has driven Chinese companies to invest in more efficient, modern technology. Is this kind of competition a potential solution? While laws to protect the environment exist on paper, their enforcement is highly variable. This may be due to the actual power lying in the hands of local authorities, who, familiar with the crushing poverty that has only recently begun to lift for most of the country, value the economic growth of the region over environmental damage. Lastly, we talked about what it will take to solve some of these issues. Will it take an overhaul of the mentality of the Chinese people? As Tilt points out, many instances have occurred recently that highlight Chinese people’s concern for their environment, even if it is first motivated by health and other economic concerns. Nevertheless, it may be a first step in initiating change.